基于SEER數(shù)據(jù)庫分析檢查淋巴結(jié)數(shù)及陽性淋巴結(jié)比率用于前列腺癌患者生存預(yù)后評估的價值
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Survival prognosis evaluation value of examined lymph nodes and positive lymph node ratio in prostate cancer
WANG Jinru1,BU Ke1,AN Hengqing2,TAO Ning1
(1.College of Public Health,Xinjiang Medical University,Urumqi 830017;2.Department of Urology,The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University,Urumqi 830054,China)
ABSTRACT:Objective To explore the number of examined lymph nodes (ELN) and positive lymph node ratio (LNR) in the prediction of 5-year and 10-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of prostate cancer (PCa) patients,so as to provide reference for clinical practice.Methods Information of PCa patients screened in the Surveillance,Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database during 2010-2020 were analyzed. A total of 1842 PCa patients were assigned to the training set (n=1290) and validation set (n=552) in a 7∶3 ratio with R 4.3.0 software. Significant factors in the multivariate Cox proportional risk regression model were adjusted,restricted cubic spline plots (RCS) were plotted,the optimal cut-off values of ELN and LNR were determined,and the 5-year and 10-year OS and CSS were analyzed with restricted mean survival time (RMST).Results Multivariate Cox analysis showed that there was a 2.9% reduction in the risk of death with an increase of 1-unit ELN and a 3.1% reduction in the risk of cancer-specific death. There was a 481.4% increase in the risk of death with a 1-unit increase in LNR and a 667.5% increase in the risk of cancer-specific death. The risk of overall death and cancer-specific death in ELN and PCa patients showing a non-linear relationship (P<0.001),while in the LNR and PCa patients showing a linear relationship (P>0.05). RMST results showed that the optimal ELN range for evaluating OS was 12-29,the optimal ELN range for assessing CSS was 12-25,LNR>0.152 indicated poor prognosis.Conclusion We have clarified the range of ELN and LNR,which can provide reference for the clinical precision diagnosis and treatment of PCa.
KEY WORDS:prostate cancer;examined lymph nodes;positive lymph node ratio;overall survival;cancer-specific survival
摘要:目的 基于監(jiān)測、流行病學(xué)和最終結(jié)果(SEER)數(shù)據(jù)庫分析檢查淋巴結(jié)數(shù)(ELN)及陽性淋巴結(jié)比率(LNR)預(yù)測前列腺癌(PCa)患者5年、10年總生存期(OS)和腫瘤特異性生存期(CSS)的價值,以期為PCa患者的臨床診療提供參考。(剩余10626字)